37.5. Methods for monitoring hedge effectiveness

Since the implementation of IFRS 9, the Volkswagen Group determines hedge effectiveness mainly on a prospective basis using the critical terms match method. Retrospective analysis of effectiveness uses effectiveness tests in the form of the dollar offset method. Under the dollar offset method, the changes in value of the hedged item expressed in monetary units are compared with the changes in value of the hedging instrument expressed in monetary units.

To this end, the accumulated changes in the fair value of the designated spot component of the hedging instrument and hedged item are compared. If the critical terms do not match, the same procedure is applied to the non-designated component.

For hedges involving interest rate or cross-currency swaps, the Volkswagen Group is exposed to uncertainty resulting from the IBOR reform, which may affect the timing, the amount of the IBOR-based cash flows, or the hedged risk of the hedged item or the hedging instrument. The Volkswagen Group applies the practical expedients allowed in connection with the amendments to the standard, irrespective of the remaining maturity of the hedged items and hedging instruments included in the hedges, to all hedges affected by the above-mentioned uncertainty arising from the IBOR reform.

The uncertainty relates to the following interest rate benchmarks: GBP LIBOR, AUD BBSW, NOK OIBOR, USD LIBOR and CAD CDOR. In the case of fair value hedges, the uncertainty relates to the identifiability of the risk component which results from the change in the fair value used to hedge against risks of changes in the carrying amounts of financial assets and financial liabilities. In cash flow hedges used to hedge against risks arising from changes in future cash flows, the uncertainty relates to the highly probable requirement for hedged future variable cash flows. The expected impact of the IBOR reform is being assessed on an ongoing basis and any measure required will be initiated promptly. By adapting systems and processes, the measures are intended to ensure that new interest rate benchmarks can be rolled out to replace the interest rate benchmarks discontinued as a result of the IBOR reform in a timely manner. The Volkswagen Group is currently focusing on the SONIA interest rate benchmark, because it has already become widely accepted and affects material transactions.

NOTIONAL AMOUNT OF DERIVATIVES

The notional amounts of hedging instruments exposed to the uncertainty from the IBOR reform described above are €35,389 million in total. Of this total, €13,112 million is attributable to GBP LIBOR, €2,675 million to AUD BBSW, €1,432 million to NOK OIBOR, €12,847 million to USD LIBOR and €3,990 million to CAD CDOR.

The summary below presents the remaining maturities profile of the notional amounts of the hedging instruments, which are accounted for under the Volkswagen Group’s hedge accounting rules, and of derivatives to which hedge accounting is not applied:

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NOTIONAL AMOUNT OF DERIVATIVES

 

 

REMAINING TERM

 

TOTAL NOTIONAL AMOUNT

 

TOTAL NOTIONAL AMOUNT

€ million

 

up to one year

 

within one to five years

 

more than five years

 

Dec. 31, 2019

 

Dec. 31, 2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notional amount of hedging instruments within hedge accounting

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hedging interest rate risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate swap

 

19,308

 

44,123

 

6,029

 

69,460

 

61,086

Hedging currency risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps in CNY

 

6,886

 

3,983

 

 

10,869

 

9,412

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps in GBP

 

11,908

 

13,245

 

 

25,153

 

18,270

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps in USD

 

8,458

 

12,905

 

2,603

 

23,965

 

18,863

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps in other currencies

 

19,706

 

14,384

 

1

 

34,091

 

26,770

Currency options

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency options in USD

 

3,857

 

4,899

 

 

8,755

 

9,683

Currency options in CNY

 

2,047

 

 

 

2,047

 

4,062

Currency options in other currencies

 

1,692

 

2,703

 

 

4,395

 

4,210

Combined interest rate and currency risk hedging

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cross-currency interest rate swaps

 

1,698

 

530

 

 

2,228

 

2,325

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notional amount of other derivatives

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hedging Interest rate risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate swap

 

22,873

 

27,918

 

20,060

 

70,852

 

66,358

Hedging Currency risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps in USD

 

6,293

 

4,620

 

585

 

11,498

 

12,403

Currency forwards/Cross-currency swaps in other currencies

 

19,740

 

1,362

 

4

 

21,105

 

17,537

Currency options

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency options in USD

 

188

 

 

 

188

 

Currency options in other currencies

 

487

 

 

 

487

 

215

Combined interest rate and currency risk hedging

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cross-currency interest rate swaps

 

6,008

 

6,543

 

949

 

13,499

 

12,450

Hedging Commodity price risk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forward commodity contracts (aluminum)

 

1,148

 

1,894

 

 

3,041

 

2,131

Forward commodity contracts (copper)

 

293

 

663

 

 

956

 

686

Forward commodity contracts (nickel)

 

157

 

1,335

 

584

 

2,075

 

235

Forward commodity contracts (other)

 

101

 

87

 

 

188

 

201

Both derivatives closed with offsetting transactions and the offsetting transactions themselves are included in the respective notional amount. The offsetting transactions cancel out the effects of the original hedging transactions. If the offsetting transactions were not included, the respective notional amount would be significantly lower. In addition to the derivatives used for hedging foreign currency, interest rate and price risk, the Group held options and other derivatives on equity instruments at the reporting date, mainly in connection with fund investments, with a notional amount of €18.2 billion (previous year: €3.8 billion) whose remaining maturity is under one year. Also in connection with fund investments, the Group held credit default swaps with a notional amount of €30.6 billion (previous year: €21.0 billion).

Existing cash flow hedges in the notional amount of €162 million (previous year: €53 million) were discontinued because of a reduction in the projections. In addition, hedges were to be terminated due to internal risk regulations.

Items hedged under cash flow hedges are expected to be realized in accordance with the maturity buckets of the hedges reported in the table. For cash flow hedges, the Volkswagen Group achieved an average hedging interest rate of 1.68% for hedging interest rate risk. In addition, currency risk was hedged at the following hedging exchange rates for the major currency pairs: EUR/USD at 1.20; EUR/GBP at 0.88; EUR/CNY at 8.14.

The fair values of the derivatives are estimated using market data at the balance sheet date as well as by appropriate valuation techniques. The following term structures were used for the calculation:

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in %

 

EUR

 

CAD

 

CHF

 

CNY

 

CZK

 

GBP

 

JPY

 

SEK

 

USD

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate for six months

 

−0.3774

 

1.9480

 

−0.5622

 

2.9797

 

2.1445

 

0.7651

 

−0.1787

 

0.1852

 

1.8264

Interest rate for one year

 

−0.3674

 

1.9659

 

−0.5146

 

2.9918

 

2.2949

 

0.7386

 

−0.0877

 

0.1970

 

1.7630

Interest rate for five years

 

−0.1195

 

2.0300

 

−0.4360

 

3.4000

 

2.0600

 

0.8844

 

0.0250

 

0.3900

 

1.6866

Interest rate for ten years

 

0.2110

 

2.1150

 

−0.1120

 

4.1500

 

1.7250

 

1.0172

 

0.1263

 

0.6900

 

1.8350